Researches

10.01.2025

Presidential elections in Croatia 2025: A choice between ‘constitutional’ and ‘false’ patriotism

In the presidential elections in Croatia, the incumbent president Milanović is likely to a convincing victory. His re-election will not ease the burden of Croatia’s complex and strained internal relations, particularly within the state leadership. He must remain steadfast in championing constitutional patriotism and reclaiming the “stolen” institutions of the state from HDZ. Any deviation from this course risks steering Croatia towards the "Latin Americanisation" of the state.

06.01.2025

The fall of the Syrian regime and regional implications

The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime marks the end of a political era in the Middle East and paves the way for an extremely complex geopolitical recomposition. This major upheaval, which resulted through a combination of internal efforts, foreign intervention, and regional dynamics, has profoundly altered the balance of power in the region. However, despite this symbolic shift, stability is still precarious and many challenges remain.

30.12.2024

Serbia 2024: Serbia between East and West

Analysts believe that student protests have introduced a fresh dynamic to Serbia’s social landscape and that this momentum should be responsibly leveraged to drive meaningful improvements across all areas of society. Achieving this requires accountability from all stakeholders and safeguards against the misuse of student protests for ulterior motives. The voice of students should serve as a catalyst for self-reflection and a guiding lesson for the future, firmly aimed at reinforcing democracy.

28.12.2024

Presidential elections in Croatia 2024: the favourite abstains from the election campaign

According to analysts, Plenković had no choice but to step back from the election campaign due to the impending changes in US foreign policy, effectively ending any prospects of victory for his candidate, Dragan Primorac. So far, Primorac has struggled to emerge from Plenković’s shadow, with most Croatians viewing him not as a legitimate presidential contender but as a mere stand-in for the true candidate, Andrej Plenković.

22.12.2024

The historical and cultural heritage of Azerbaijan in Armenia: Obligation of Armenia to preserve and restore

The destruction or neglect of Azerbaijani cultural heritage sites, is a critical issue affecting the peace process. Restoration and protection of these sites can serve as steps toward reconciliation by recognizing and respecting the cultural and historical legacies of both nations. Preserving such sites not only aligns with international cultural protection norms but also fosters mutual respect, an essential foundation for durable peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

17.12.2024

Abusive Constitutionalism: Detection and Prevention

This analysis highlights the risks posed by selected countries’ proposed constitutional amendments, which aim to strengthen the executive branch through measures like extending presidential terms and reintroducing the PPHN of largest country in SEA. These changes mirror trends in Russia, Turkey, and China, where centralizing power fosters a cult of personality, erodes institutional independence, and undermines democratic principles.

09.12.2024

The Presidential elections in Belarus 2025: The curse and revenge of geography

Alexander Lukashenko supported Donald Trump in his bid for the White House against Kamala Harris, hoping for an improvement in bilateral relations following a change in US leadership. He promptly congratulated Trump on his victory, referring to him as a “powerhouse” and a “bulldozer,” and pledged to nominate him for the Nobel Peace Prize if he succeeded in ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

26.11.2024

Today’s perspective

Trump stated that he would bring peace to the Middle East, which is good. But how does he get the Israelis to understand what is needed and not their current stated goal to dominate the whole territory, which was once known as Palestine. Now it is a far cry from what they agreed to in 1948 when they were given the right to assume ownership of a fair slice of the land. The President-elect has a good rapport with the Israeli PM Netanyahu.

24.11.2024

ZAVNOBiH and the continuity of statehood in Bosnia and Herzegovina through the 20th and 21st centuries

The rising threat of nationalism advocating the secession of Republika Srpska from BiH poses a serious risk to the country’s peace, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. Preventing the evident dangers of BiH’s disintegration will require the international community and the country’s democratic, multi-ethnic forces to accelerate its integration into the EU. In addition to the threat of secession, BiH is also grappling with the danger of demographic depletion caused.

19.11.2024

Specific aspects of the ECHR judgment in 'Kovačević vs Bosnia and Herzegovina'

It is evident that the judgment in Kovačević vs Bosnia and Herzegovina is not only significant for Bosnia and Herzegovina and the restoration of democracy within the country but also has a much broader scope, effectively safeguarding democracy across Europe. Its confirmation in favour of the applicant, Kovačević, would undoubtedly affirm practices rooted in European democratic principles and task Bosnia and Herzegovina to embrace a democratic mindset and reorganise itself in line with European standards.

14.11.2024

USA 2024: Donald Trump’s victory – a new global reality

Trump has been given a mandate by the American people to change the course of U.S. foreign policy, and there is little doubt that this time he feels more assured in pursuing his bold and sometimes volatile ambitions. With his unique vision and unconventional style, Trump may well achieve a great deal. However, if he succeeds in restoring the United States to “greatness,” true to his slogan “Make America Great Again,” this greatness will inevitably come at a high cost to international relations.

21.10.2024

Macedonian-Bulgarian Relations 2024: Why the Macedonians are right about Bulgaria?

Macedonian-Bulgarian relations must be built on mutual reciprocity. The inclusion of Bulgarians in the Macedonian constitution and Macedonians in the Bulgarian constitution would be a step in the right direction. The EU is making a mistake and engaging in clear discrimination against Macedonia by aligning itself with Bulgaria. Bulgaria must end its humiliating treatment of Macedonia. History should not be held hostage by retrospective nationalism.