Researches

06.03.2025

Bosnia and Herzegovina 2025: Two US plans for the Balkans and BiH at odds with expansionist concepts?

The unfolding situation in BiH demands both caution and concern—not only due to historical precedent, as the 1914 assassination of Austro-Hungarian heir Franz Ferdinand in Sarajevo served as a catalyst for World War I, but also because, in the more recent past (1992–1995), BiH was the victim of a brutal war and military aggression. If such a conflict were to erupt again, it would no longer remain localised but would escalate into a Europe-wide war with unpredictable consequences...

03.03.2025

Unpredictable days ahead

This summary proceedings of recent events has been underlined by the changeover in the US presidency, with the bringing in of the 47th incumbent to hold this prestigious office, Donald Trump, with all the unpredictability he brings. It can only be seen as a statement in time. It would be a brave man who would predict what will happen in a week’s time never mind a few months. So, watch this space!

25.02.2025

Digital Technologies and Mental Health

Since the end of the Covid-19 pandemic, the impact of digital technology on the mental health and wellbeing of individuals, in particular the young, has received considerable attention from public health organizations worldwide. Adding to concerns about increase in suicidal behaviour in the young in a society context producing ontological fears and insecurities worldwide, WHO experts worldwide witnessed a significant rise in mental health issues, anti-depressant prescription uptakes...

16.02.2025

Syria – a larger Lebanon or a signal for major geopolitical changes in 2025?

Syria’s situation remains highly complex and open to various possibilities. The new government must tackle a deepening economic and social crisis while preventing a descent into factional conflict, reminiscent of Lebanon’s historical turmoil.

12.02.2025

Tito's Velenje and Trump's Balkans

Exactly 45 years after the death of Josip Broz Tito for the first time a politician appears in the world behind whom stand some minority or majority groups in all the countries of the former Yugoslavia. That person is of course the newly elected or re-elected president of the United States of America, Donald Trump who only recently began his second term.

10.02.2025

Geopolitical vision of the future: Serbia in the new global order

Beyond geopolitical and economic considerations, a return to fundamental values is also essential. Trump’s vision is not solely based on economic and military growth but also on the revival of traditional family values. Family, faith, and community are once again becoming the cornerstones of future civilisation. Serbia, as a country with a rich tradition and Orthodox identity, can find its place within this vision.

06.02.2025

Parliamentary elections in Kosovo 2025: Is there a renewed push for the partition of Kosovo?

If history teaches us anything, it is that a political leader who disrupts and threatens the interests of oligarchs, criminals, political mafias, and foreign powers is never simply voted out—he puts himself in danger and becomes their target. Those who strive to secure a future for their nation must face the harsh reality that they themselves may be eliminated. Such is the fate of Albin Kurti.

03.02.2025

Breaking echo chamber effects in North Korea analysis

Specifically, the “cannon fodder” option is most rational for Pyongyang because it has made a basic strategic shift to South Korea last year, with the constitutional amendment designating it as a hostile state, no longer a part of the Peninsula to be unified. This means that Pyongyang may use nuclear weapons against South Korea’s far superior conventional warfighting capability. This will free Pyongyang from investing in its large and poorly armed conventional forces.

24.01.2025

Parliamentary elections in Kosovo 2025: A new approach needed for Kosovo

The appointment of a new EU Special Envoy for dialogue is important, as Miroslav Lajčak effectively ceded control of the process to other actors, failing to establish clear principles for the negotiations or the implementation of the Brussels Agreement. While governments in Pristina have changed, Serbia’s chief negotiator has consistently been President Aleksandar Vučić. However, Lajčak is not solely responsible for the collapse of the dialogue on normalisation.

22.01.2025

Presidential elections in Belarus 2025: A new phase in the country's socio-political and economic development

Analysts anticipate that Trump's return to the White House will open a new phase in the relations between Belarus and the USA. Belarus is counting on actions from the new US administration regarding Russia and Ukraine, which could help it emerge from diplomatic isolation without significant concessions on its part. Belarus is not at war with Ukraine; it is merely a collateral victim of the West’s conflict with Russia.

16.01.2025

Syria 2025: The historical Syrian project: From revolution to a modern inclusive civil state

The world failed to support the Syrian people when they were oppressed by the former regime, and now they need the backing of the UN and other international institutions. Throughout the civil war, the global community let the Syrians down, but a historic opportunity has now emerged to rectify these grave mistakes and champion their aspirations for a brighter future. The time has come for the world to stand firmly with the Syrian people.

16.01.2025

2024 - A year of unrest and uncertainty

The new year promises some changes, particularly with a Trump presidency in the US taking up the reins of government. Trump has said that he will end the two wars that have dominated the news in 2024. How he will do that and the final solution that is tabled will indicate the direction in which the world might go. The situation in Syria at the tail end of the year will mean the Middle East will be news for the rest of 2025 and beyond and probably take diplomacy in an entirely different direction.