Researches

18.09.2024

Local elections in BiH 2024: Political elites living in a parallel reality

Local elections transcend their usual scope and represent a critical test for the Troika, SNSD, and HDZBiH. Voters will have the chance to evaluate their performance, provided they can make choices independently and without external pressures.Substantial amounts of both public and questionable funds have been funnelled into the electoral process, potentially influencing the final results. BiH’s political elites live in a parallel reality, that voters have not yet effectively challenged in past elections.

12.09.2024

Serbia 2024: Between a ‘special war’ and ‘global 'launch’

Analysts suggest that a “special war” is being waged against Serbia with the ultimate goal of removing Aleksandar Vučić from power through undemocratic means, despite Serbia being at the peak of its economic development. Therefore, the “Jadar” project should not be leveraged as a tool in this “special war” against Serbia. At the same time, Serbia must pay closer attention to and focus on certain ”friendly” countries that are participating in this “special war"”against it.

07.09.2024

Predicting Taliban’s grip on power in Afghanistan for FY 2024-25

No scenario can predict the collapse/capitulation of the Taliban regime or the potency of a civil war in years to come. As international support for anti-Taliban resistance groups fosters, the authors predict the Taliban regime to remain in power in the near foreseeable future. Although the presence of New Delhi in Kabul is widely appreciated by roughly all Taliban ranks, sustained engagement with the Taliban via regional dialogue could keep a check on the Taliban’s governance in the country.

29.08.2024

Political appointments or career diplomacy? The challenge of the new Law on Foreign Service in the Republic of Albania.

Prioritizing career diplomacy ensures that diplomatic missions are filled by individuals with proven experience and a commitment to our country's long-term diplomatic objectives. This approach supports the development of stable, effective and reliable international relations, which are essential for the advancement of national interests in the global arena, especially for a small country like Albania.

19.08.2024

How Qatar’s mediation diplomacy elevated the Taliban to the seat at Kabul

Doha’s mediation diplomacy may not have delivered results as anticipated. It has not demonstrated Doha as a potential regional power. It may have at best, demonstrated itself as a power capital of mediation diplomacy, proving its reliability as an ally to its European partners, more prominently Washington. On the contrary, it may have stopped short of achieving the image of a grand/global mediator.

09.08.2024

Central Asia 2024: The Trans-Caspian International Transport Route and strengthening the EU-Kyrgyzstan partnership

Analysts highlight the significance of advancing EU-Kyrgyzstan relations, largely attributed to President Sadyr Japarov's efforts and commitment to improve ties with the European Union. The signed EPCA agreement serves as the formal foundation for enhancing relations across all sectors.

06.08.2024

The War in Ukraine as an inevitable manifestation of globalism vs. nationalism

This study is particularly interested in the Jewish question as a vantage point from which to look at the interplay of historical, geo-political, and ethno-political factors in historic and today’s Ukraine and to grasp the cross-national dynamics of national security and foreign policy lines, specially across the U.S., the Soviet Union/Russia, and Ukraine. The approach is based on the understanding that the Judeo-Christian Western history and the Jewish question are the head and tail of the same coin.

01.08.2024

Unsettled Times

George Friedman’s (2009) book considered the world political development over this century ‘’The next 100 years’’. That, looking forward, the US would dominate world affairs for most of the century, and only in the last quarter would other players become strong enough to exhibit a challenge.That forecast did not see a situation of the US appearing so divided already that people are worried that the scenario does not descend towards civil unrest, two seriously opposed factions.

26.07.2024

Belarus 2024: Eurasian dimensions of Belarus's membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)

Analysts believe that the EU should avoid repeating past mistakes regarding Belarus and should return to the level of engagement it had after the signing of the Minsk I and Minsk II agreements. The EU needs to leverage Belarus's role to achieve a viable peace solution for Ukraine, as peace will not materialize on its own without significant effort and activity. The withdrawal of Belarusian forces from the Ukrainian border is seen as a positive signal, indicating readiness to initiate negotiations.

23.07.2024

Beyond Doha: Why the West engages with the Taliban

This appears to be true since nations seems to already adapt the Taliban-centric approach with some aiming to expand this engagement, silencing those still advocating for an Afghan-inclusive approach. The West’s approach may appear logical (at best), it could potentially destroy the sheer fabric of Afghan unity plunging the nation into civil war (not today or tomorrow) but in the near forcible future.

19.07.2024

The Essence of Today in Yesterday's Facts 1924-2024: Parvus A Hundred Years Later

To make revolution, revolutionaries are needed: heroes, men with intellect and physical gifts beyond man who know how to give themselves for an idea and see beyond; However, these very capable pure spirits, these idealists, could do nothing without financiers with broad shoulders, magnetic eyes, liberal habits and overflowing wallets. To make revolution it is not enough to invoke it or incite the social network people.

16.07.2024

The end of the first quarter of the 21st century, marked by significant searches for new global geopolitical balances

We are facing a series of major geopolitical problems, and I will list those considered the most important: the rise of China and its rivalry with the US; changes in the structure of alliances and partnerships; technological developments and cyber warfare; climate crises; regional tensions and conflicts; global multipolarity; demography and migration; energy and natural resources; economic instability and pandemics; the strengthening of national identities and the rise of populism.